The 2006 team was led by Curt Smith. (TA Photo) |
After losing the 2005 championship to the Newport Gulls, Vermont bounced back in 2006. They downed the now-defunct Torrington Twisters to pick up their first title and grabbed another in quick succession in a rematch with the Gulls.
Each of those teams had unique strengths and weaknesses. The 2006 team featured four all-star starters and finished a NECBL best 27-15, while the 2007 team went 24-18 and won as a two-seed. Regardless, here's a comparison of each of these teams.
July 3 2006 July 3 2007 July 3 2014
Record 13-7 1st place 10-10 4th place 12-7 1st place
Record 13-7 1st place 10-10 4th place 12-7 1st place
Standings +2 up -3 out +0.5 up
Runs scored 107 5.35/game 72 3.60/game 95 5.00/game
Runs against 70 3.50/game 92 4.60/game 58 3.05/game
Final record 27-15 24-18 projected 22-20*
*pace based on FiveThirtyEight regressed winning percentage
The thing that jumps out at first is just how dominant the 2014 pitching has been already. They're allowing just three runs a game, which is the best mark through June out of any of the three years.
However, the 2014 offense hasn't been quite as dominant this season compared to the 2006 team.
The 2006 Mountaineers were loaded from top to bottom and won the most games in franchise history, with 27. Curt Smith (.323, 20 stolen bases, 26 runs), Troy Krider (.317, 22 runs) and Zach Zaneski (.309, 20 RBIs) formed a lethal core. The 2007 team snuck into the playoffs despite sitting three games out of first and in a tie for fourth place at the start of the July.
Out of these three teams, surprisingly the 2014 team is in a tie for the lead in run differential. Bill James Pythagorean Expectation puts them at a 14-5 record, a mark that would put Vermont 2 1/2 games up on second place Sanford.
The 2006 team had the most success heading into July with a half game advantage on this years Mountaineers- but keep an eye on this years team. Manager Joe Brown and his talented pitching and deep bench could bring home the first Vermont title in seven years.
Great article. So far, the depth of this years team looks like it might preclude any one player from having a Curt Smith type season. But combined with the strong pitching, that depth will hopefully be a strength and a buffer against the inevitable late-season attrition in collegiate summer baseball. Thanks for the article.
ReplyDeleteI agree. I don't see any player being able to break a Mountaineer offensive record because of the constantly changing lineup, but I definitely agree that the depth is a valuable resource. Thanks for reading!
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